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G Sachs: AI Chip Industry Booms; S Korea and Taiwan Expected to Raise Rates Twice This Year
G Sachs expects S Korea to raise interest rates in 3Q26 and 4Q26 by 25 bps each, while Taiwan is projected to hike rates in 2Q26 and 4Q26 by 12.5 bps each, as the booming AI chip i...
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G Sachs: AI Chip Industry Booms; S Korea and Taiwan Expected to Raise Rates Twice This Year
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G Sachs expects S Korea to raise interest rates in 3Q26 and 4Q26 by 25 bps each, while Taiwan is projected to hike rates in 2Q26 and 4Q26 by 12.5 bps each, as the booming AI chip industry in both economies is expected to significantly expand their trade surpluses and force central banks to tighten policy later this year.

G Sachs forecasts that S Korea's AI-related exports may grow 2x this year, reaching nearly 30% of GDP, while the proportion for Taiwan could rise further to above 30%. G Sachs expects S Korea's economic growth to accelerate to 2.5% this year, while Taiwan's growth may also quicken to nearly 10%. As the economy enters a K-shaped cycle, authorities should adopt targeted and prudent fiscal policies. Coupled with a sharp increase in exports driven by AI, both currencies are expected to appreciate.

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